Nobel Odds
Posted by Josh Wright on October 8, 2009
Looks like my perennial Alchian, Demsetz & Klein UCLA trio prediction didn’t make the list, though I see several candidates who would be honored for contributions in the theory of the firm, property rights or transaction costs. Announcements Monday. Here’s the list from Ladbrokes (HT: Mankiw):
Eugene Fama 2/1
Paul Romer 4/1
Ernst Fehr 6/1
Kenneth R. French 6/1
William Nordhaus 6/1
Robert Barro 7/1
Matthew J Rabin 8/1
Jean Tirole 9/1
Martin Weitzman 9/1
Chris Pissarides 10/1
Dale T Mortensen 10/1
Xavier Sala-i-Martin 10/1
Avinash Dixit 14/1
Jagdish N. Bhagwati 14/1
Robert Schiller [sic] 14/1
William Baumol 16/1
Martin S. Feldstein 20/1
Christopher Sims 25/1
Lars P. Hansen 25/1
Nancy Stokey 25/1
Peter A Diamond 25/1
Thomas J. Sargent 25/1
Dale Jorgenson 33/1
Paul Milgrom 33/1
Oliver Hart 40/1
Bengt R Holmstrom 50/1
Elhanan Helpman 50/1
Ellinor Ostrom 50/1
Gene M Grossman 50/1
Karl-Goran Maler 50/1
Oliver Williamson 50/1
Robert B Wilson 50/1
One Response to “Nobel Odds”
Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.
observer said
I’m hoping Fama wins and destroys whatever credibility the “Nobel Prize” in economics has left. EMH is a perfect example of an elegant model that has been blindly defended by academic economists despite all the disconfirming real world evidence – Warren Buffett, Edward Thorp, Jim Simons, 1987 crash, internet bubble, GFC, etc etc.