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Nocera on the uncorporation and the financial crisis

Posted by Larry Ribstein on December 16, 2010

The Glom’s having a book club on McLean & Nocera’s All the Devils Are Here. I haven’t read the book (it takes a lot to get me to read a book by business journalists).  But I have read David Zaring’s interview with his “favorite Times columnist.  One of the questions and answers naturally piqued my interest:

Q:  Business law scholars think a great deal about how the corporate form can facilitate good business decisions.  But financial institutions tend to use corporate governance best practices (no poisons pills, dual class stock structures, plenty of outside, if not always qualified, directors), and yet have extremely high levels of insider compensation, regularly exercise poor risk management, and so on.  You’ve looked at the way the banks were run during the crisis; how did you think their corporate organization affected their performance, if at all? 

A.  It is important to remember that most Wall Street firms were partnerships before they became corporations.  When they took investment risk, they did it with the partners’ money; when they reaped rewards, it was the partners who put those rewards in their pockets.  Once the partnerships became publicly traded corporations, they were suddenly freed from the fear that losses would come out of their own pockets–it was now shareholders’ money they were putting at risk.  Yet their view of compensation never changed: the vast majority of the gains they made went not to the shareholders, but to themselves.  Most Wall Street firms put aside more than 50 of revenues–not profits, but revenues–for compensation, an astounding figure.  That is why there was so little brake on the riskiness, and even the foolishness, of the risk-taking:  all the incentives went in the opposite direction.  Having a corporate structure, in no small measure, created those warped incentives.

Obviously I agree that corporations were a cause, and the uncorporation is a possible solution.  I noted this more than two years ago discussing a post by Charles Calomiris making points identical to those of Nocera.  Since then, the point has been made by so many others that it is now commonplace: 

  • Michael Lewis (“No investment bank owned by its employees would have levered itself 35 to 1 or bought and held $50 billion in mezzanine C.D.O.’s. I doubt any partnership would have sought to game the rating agencies or leap into bed with loan sharks or even allow mezzanine C.D.O.’s to be sold to its customers. The hoped-for short-term gain would not have justified the long-term hit.”)
  • James K. Glassman & William T. Nolan, Wall St. J., Feb. 25, 2009, at A15
  • Steve Davidoff  (the firm that best avoided the problems with subprime, Goldman, “retained the most partnership-like attributes” of all the investment banking firms, but that “all partnerships were not created equal”)
  • Caroline Salas & Pierre Paulden
  • Richard Posner, A Failure of Capitalism, 99-100 (2009) (hedge funds didn’t do as badly as large publicly held financial firms partly because they were “less plagued by conflicts between owners and managers” and that “the incentive to take risks that is created by executive overcompensation in publicly held companies has been a factor in the financial crisis”).
  • Alan Blinder (hedge funds have less leverage than investment and commercial banks because their senior partners “almost always have significant shares of their own personal wealth tied up in the funds”)

I noted in my 2008 post that

[t]his story directly supports what I have been saying about the advantages of what I call partnership, or “uncorporate,” governance structures that involve not only high-powered owner-like compensation, as Calomires stresses, but also distributions to owners and limited term of the fund, both of which tend to expose managers to capital market discipline.

* * * [T]hese devices can be superior to the sort of monitoring structures that publicly held corporations and other firms governed on the corporate model typically rely on. So we see that all of the so-called independent directors in the world and the other trappings that are considered so essential to the modern corporation did not stop a huge segment of the investment industry from deliberately ignoring reality, and causing vast dislocations as a result. Yet despite this, as I show in my article, there is still a bias against uncorporate structures in large firms.

I later wrote in my Rise of the Uncorporation (footnotes omitted):

[I]t is not clear that investment firms need to turn back the clock to the partnership era. Managers’ personal liability may deter beneficial risk-taking because there is a lot of uncertainty that even the most intense monitoring cannot eliminate. Modern uncorporate business forms may be a better approach because they combine limited liability with partnership-like mechanisms for addressing agency costs.

In my article, Uncorporation’s Domain, I noted that the uncorporate/hedge fund structure is appropriate for investment banking:

The modern uncorporation could offer a useful compromise for investment banks.  These firms might become more like hedge funds, which survived the meltdown relatively well. * * *

The biggest problem posed by uncorporate investment banking is that it could exacerbate concerns about market risk.  Owner demands for cash might force distressed firms to sell assets in illiquid markets at “fire sale” prices.  In the recent financial crisis, rapidly deteriorating asset values led to fears of investor runs on financial firms.  Toppling financial firms reduce overall market liquidity and thereby can threaten the whole economy.  Thus, rather than permitting the spread of the uncorporation into investment banking, regulators seem poised to apply increased regulation of the financial sector to uncorporations.  Indeed, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a major financial reform bill that would, among other things, impose registration and systemic risk regulation on hedge funds, while European regulators appear to be moving toward even tighter controls. 

It is important to keep in mind, however, that these market risks materialized in a financial industry dominated by corporations.  Uncorporate governance could weed out the weakest firms before disaster strikes, thereby reducing the risk of a market-wide crisis of confidence.  Uncorporations also can avoid some of the problems posed by bankruptcy of financial institutions. An uncorporation that cannot continue making distributions to its owners is in a different position from a firm that cannot continue paying its creditors in that it can deal with the potential shortfall by ex ante contract, possibly avoiding the need for a hasty ex post restructuring in bankruptcy.  This Article’s analysis suggests that regulators should consider the basic governance differences between uncorporations and corporations when deciding which financial institutions are appropriate for systemic risk regulation.

Of course we now know that didn’t happen — Dodd-Frank Section 403 responded to the financial crisis in part by shackling hedge funds with new registration and information requirements despite the now commonplace wisdom that hedge funds were a solution to rather than a cause of the financial crisis.

Final note:  I like the idea of academic bloggers interviewing journalists.  Great illustration of what I saw a few years ago as the potential relationship between blogging intellectuals and the mainstream press — and a way to get a better press corps.  But hey, Dave, how about some follow-up questions?

Posted in blogging, financial regulation, uncorporations | 1 Comment »

2010 ABA Journal Blawg 100

Posted by Josh Wright on December 1, 2010

As Larry mentioned, TOTM has been nominated as one of the best legal blogs as selected by the ABA’s editors.  Readers can vote here (after registering with the ABA site) — you can find TOTM in the “Law Prof Plus” category.

 

Posted in announcements, blogging, truth on the market | Comments Off

ABA Blawg 100: Vote for us

Posted by Larry Ribstein on November 30, 2010

Tell the world you like Truth on the Market. Vote here.

Posted in blogging, truth on the market | Comments Off

DeLong on Henderson III

Posted by Larry Ribstein on October 7, 2010

On October 3 I wrote

The DeLong point I want to focus on is his last:  “I genuinely do not understand why Henderson has his job.” By which he means Todd’s law professor job.

DeLong’s sole reported basis for this is a post, not by Todd, but by my co-blogger Jay Verret, who refers to a recent Henderson paper, Insider Trading and CEO Pay.  Jay says Todd’s findings in the paper “are in line with Henry Manne’s original thesis from nearly 40 years ago that insider trading didn’t diminish firm market value on net and may serve a useful purpose as an executive compensation device to motivate managers to maximize the value of the firm.”

DeLong responds that “[g]iving firm managers the freedom to use information they privately have as a result of their jobs to decide when to buy and sell shares of stock does not motivate managers to manage the firm in the interest of shareholders.”  That’s because, according to DeLong, “the ability to engage in insider trading. . . gives managers an incentive to make the price of the stock vary–they don’t care which way.. . . Insider trading makes executives’ portfolios’ long not the company but long the volatility of the company. . . . This claim that freedom to engage in insider trading aligns executives’ interests with those of shareholders is so basically wrong, so obviously erroneous, so simply stupid that–well, words fail me.”

As Jay notes, there’s at least significant intelligent debate on these issues.  Opponents of insider trading regulation don’t argue that insider trading is always good, but that firms should be allowed to contract for it.  But the most remarkable thing about DeLong’s post is that it accuses Todd of being “stupid” and unfit for law teaching because of an argument Todd didn’t make! 

If DeLong had bothered to look even at the abstract of Todd’s article, perhaps he would have noticed that the article’s not about alignment of incentives, but about whether boards bargain with insiders over their gains.  Todd finds evidence consistent with the hypothesis that “boards pay executives in a way that reflects the profits they are expected to earn from informed trades.” 

Todd doesn’t even argue based on this evidence that insider trading liability should be abolished.  Rather, he says only that “the case for classic insider trading is made much weaker by this data.”  He also notes in the abstract that “there still may be good reasons to prohibit some individuals from trading on material, non-public information.” One of these reasons might be DeLong’s point that firms would be better off if insiders weren’t paid with insider trading profits.  Maybe that holds even if the insiders are willing to pay for the opportunity to trade.  I don’t necessarily subscribe to DeLong’s arguments, but I’m not willing to call somebody “stupid” and unfit for teaching for making them.  My only point here is that Todd doesn’t discuss this issue at all. 

I will leave it to the reader to decide what we should make of a Professor of Economics at U.C Berkeley, Chair of Berkeley’s Political Economy major and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury who is willing, in print, to accuse somebody of being “simply stupid” for a position he does not take expressed in a blog post he didn’t write

DeLong responds:

Ribstein, Adler, Volokh, etc.:

[T]he abstract of Todd [Henderson]’s article… [shows] that the article’s not about alignment of incentives, but about whether boards bargain with insiders over their gains. Todd finds evidence consistent with the hypothesis that “boards pay executives in a way that reflects the profits they are expected to earn from informed trades”…

J.W. Verret:

In “Insider Trading and CEO Pay,” Prof. Henderson examines the effectiveness of insider trading as a compensation device…. His findings are… that insider trading… may serve a useful purpose as an executive compensation device to motivate managers to maximize the value of the firm…

Todd Henderson, in said abstract:

Insider Trading and CEO Pay: This Paper presents evidence boards of directors “bargain” with executives about the profits they expect to make from trades in firm stock. The evidence suggests executives whose trading freedom is increased using Rule 10b5-1 trading plans experienced reductions in other forms of pay to offset the potential gains from trading. There are two benefits from trading—portfolio optimization and informed trading profits—and this Paper allows us to isolate them. The data show boards pay executives in a way that reflects the profits they are expected to earn from informed trades…. As a matter of policy, the data seriously undercut criticisms of the laissez-faire view of insider trading…. At least with respect to classic insider trading (that is, a manager of a firm trading on the basis of information about the firm where she works), if boards are taking potential trading profits into consideration when setting pay, it is difficult to locate potential victims of this trading. Current shareholders should be happy with a deal that pays managers in part out of the hide of future shareholders…

I call this one for Verret 6-0, 6-0, 6-0.

The reader will note two things.  First, Verret did not say what DeLong attributes to him in his edited version of Verret’s initial post, as Verret himself noted later.  Second, Todd’s abstract does not say what DeLong’s edited version of Verret says.  Henderson says that the data shows that insider pay adjusts to reflect expected insider trading profits, not that “insider trading. . . may serve a useful purpose as an executive compensation device to motivate managers to maximize the value of the firm.” 

I wonder whether (1) DeLong does not understand the difference between these two statements; or (2) by clever manipulation DeLong wants the reader to believe that Henderson said something he didn’t say, so that DeLong can then call it stupid (which, as I said earlier, it isn’t).

Whichever is the case, I also wonder why a person in DeLong’s position decided to embark on this character assassination in the first place.

Update:  Jonathan Adler also responds, with more detail on the stuff DeLong cut out.  That is all I plan to say about DeLong on Henderson (and probably about DeLong on anything).  There is much more that can be said about whether insider trading should be regulated, and I will likely discuss it when the issue is raised by a new case, SEC rule or cogent commentary.  In particular, I expect to have more to say later about Henderson’s very interesting paper which DeLong carelessly trashes.  But I can now see that a discussion with the likes of Brad DeLong is not productive.

Posted in blogging, DeLong, truth on the market | 11 Comments »

Brad DeLong on Todd Henderson

Posted by Larry Ribstein on October 3, 2010

More than two weeks ago, my co-blogger was subject to one of the most remarkable attacks I’ve seen in the blogosphere.  I have declined so far to participate in the mostly hot-headed debate.  But I write now because last Friday, J. Bradford DeLong, whose personal attack on Todd a couple of weeks ago was one of the most influential and often-cited, launched a fresh attack on Todd.  Since DeLong is, among other things, a Professor of Economics at U.C Berkeley, Chair of Berkeley’s Political Economy major and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury, there are those who will take his comments seriously.  Todd could easily defend himself, but he’s withdrawn from the battlefield.  I’m unwilling to let this one go. 

In the latest post, DeLong accused Todd of, among other things, engaging in class war, engaging in culture war, being “mendacious” by “trying to keep his readers from thinking about the consequences of the Bush policies he supported,” and lying about his own income.  He also claims that Todd is “ignorant” or “mendacious” because he does not know that “the laws that Barack Obama has lobbied for and gotten Congress to pass, in the long run don’t expand but shrink the government relative to what it otherwise would be.”  I mention these claims mainly just to indicate the tone of DeLong’s post and set the table for what follows.  I’ll just add with respect to the last-mentioned item that if Todd is “ignorant” that Obama is actually shrinking government then Todd has a lot of company. 

The DeLong point I want to focus on is his last:  “I genuinely do not understand why Henderson has his job.” By which he means Todd’s law professor job.

DeLong’s sole reported basis for this is a post, not by Todd, but by my co-blogger Jay Verret, who refers to a recent Henderson paper, Insider Trading and CEO Pay.  Jay says Todd’s findings in the paper “are in line with Henry Manne’s original thesis from nearly 40 years ago that insider trading didn’t diminish firm market value on net and may serve a useful purpose as an executive compensation device to motivate managers to maximize the value of the firm.”

DeLong responds that “[g]iving firm managers the freedom to use information they privately have as a result of their jobs to decide when to buy and sell shares of stock does not motivate managers to manage the firm in the interest of shareholders.”  That’s because, according to DeLong, “the ability to engage in insider trading. . . gives managers an incentive to make the price of the stock vary–they don’t care which way.. . . Insider trading makes executives’ portfolios’ long not the company but long the volatility of the company. . . . This claim that freedom to engage in insider trading aligns executives’ interests with those of shareholders is so basically wrong, so obviously erroneous, so simply stupid that–well, words fail me.”

As Jay notes, there’s at least significant intelligent debate on these issues.  Opponents of insider trading regulation don’t argue that insider trading is always good, but that firms should be allowed to contract for it.  But the most remarkable thing about DeLong’s post is that it accuses Todd of being “stupid” and unfit for law teaching because of an argument Todd didn’t make! 

If DeLong had bothered to look even at the abstract of Todd’s article, perhaps he would have noticed that the article’s not about alignment of incentives, but about whether boards bargain with insiders over their gains.  Todd finds evidence consistent with the hypothesis that “boards pay executives in a way that reflects the profits they are expected to earn from informed trades.” 

Todd doesn’t even argue based on this evidence that insider trading liability should be abolished.  Rather, he says only that “the case for classic insider trading is made much weaker by this data.”  He also notes in the abstract that “there still may be good reasons to prohibit some individuals from trading on material, non-public information.” One of these reasons might be DeLong’s point that firms would be better off if insiders weren’t paid with insider trading profits.  Maybe that holds even if the insiders are willing to pay for the opportunity to trade.  I don’t necessarily subscribe to DeLong’s arguments, but I’m not willing to call somebody “stupid” and unfit for teaching for making them.  My only point here is that Todd doesn’t discuss this issue at all. 

I will leave it to the reader to decide what we should make of a Professor of Economics at U.C Berkeley, Chair of Berkeley’s Political Economy major and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury who is willing, in print, to accuse somebody of being “simply stupid” for a position he does not take expressed in a blog post he didn’t write.

Posted in blogging, insider trading, securities regulation | 13 Comments »

I’m sorry II

Posted by Larry Ribstein on September 20, 2010

Likewise.  I don’t retract a word of my prior post, in which I ventured to suggest that economic arguments might substitute for personal attacks.  If the comments to this blog over the last week represent the state of the discussion we are having about economic policy, then I truly fear for this country’s future.

Posted in blogging | 3 Comments »

Comments Policy

Posted by Josh Wright on September 18, 2010

A reminder regarding our comments policy in light of the language and tone of a handful of comments to Todd’s post:

We welcome comments. We do not intend to moderate them but may delete those that are profane, mean spirited, racist, sexist, or otherwise inappropriate.

Sometimes, and especially on the weekend (and even more so during football season), it takes me a bit longer to moderate comments than would otherwise be the case.  Please submit just once.  Thanks.

Posted in blogging | 4 Comments »

Some Links

Posted by Josh Wright on September 8, 2010

  • SCOTUS judge and law clerk selection as principal-agent / incomplete contracting problem (Orin Kerr)
  • How to read an academic article (Peter Klein), though what seems missing are decision-rules for when articles should be “rejected” for a full-read after skimming
  • The Washington Post reports that antitrust at the Varney DOJ isn’t much different than antitrust under the Barnett DOJ in terms of enforcement, and particularly, monopolization activity — but TOTM readers already know that
  • An update on the Google/ ITA investigation
  • Does technology move too fast for antitrust — revisited, again … (SF Chronicle — featuring comments from former economist, TOTM guest blogger and my co-author, David Evans)

Posted in antitrust, blogging, monopolization, musings, technology | Comments Off

We’re number 9

Posted by Larry Ribstein on September 4, 2010

On Wikio’s Top 20 legal blogs.  Thanks to our readers and keep coming back.

Posted in blogging | 2 Comments »

The troubles with business journalists

Posted by Larry Ribstein on August 24, 2010

Chrystia Freeland had some interesting thoughts on this in Sunday’s New York Times:

  • Too much of the top business writing (e.g., Michael Lewis) reports from the inside, based on cooperation with the insiders. Mikael Blomkvist would disapprove.
  • So-called investigative reporters like Gretchen Morgenson obsess over individual wrongdoing instead of root causes. (Don’t get me started.)
  • Journalists like personal narratives rather than analyzing what’s really happening inside corporations. (Mae Kuykendall has more on this.) Good example: focusing on the Fabulous Fab instead of Goldman.

I have a solution: scholarly blogs, or what I call PEAPs in my Public Face of Scholarship. The advantages of PEAPs include:

  • Lack of mainstream press institutional biases (discussed in more detail in my article).
  • Authors’ freedom to diverge from views of mainstream journalists’ mass audience.
  • May have smaller audience, but provide competitive discipline for the mainstream press.

My article predicts an equilibrium:

Journalism might evolve into a hybrid in which neither professional nor amateur journalism clearly dominates. Professional media may add to their bundles blog-like features for the readers who would otherwise defect to blogs. Indeed, many newspapers already have blogs on their websites that combine professional writing and reporting with interactivity. This might carry over to the rest of the newspaper, with each story providing a point of connection with reader commentary and blogs. Or current forms of professional media might be replaced by professionally managed group blogs. [footnote omitted]

But: there will always be a role for well-financed professional reporting.

Some dividing line between professional and amateur media is likely to remain. For example, professionals by definition will have more resources than academics to report on facts.
Conversely, bloggers, particularly authors of PEAPs, will continue to offer more specialized expertise than the mass media can offer. [footnote omitted]

The question is whether that professional reporting will come from anything like conventional newspapers.

Posted in blogging | Comments Off

 
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