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	<title>Comments on: The unfortunate return of the &quot;strange, red-haired, bearded, one-eyed, man with a limp&quot;</title>
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	<link>http://truthonthemarket.com/2008/07/29/the-unfortunate-return-of-the-strange-red-haired-bearded-one-eyed-man-with-a-limp/</link>
	<description>Academic commentary on law, business, economics and more</description>
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		<title>By: TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Varney on the Merger Guidelines</title>
		<link>http://truthonthemarket.com/2008/07/29/the-unfortunate-return-of-the-strange-red-haired-bearded-one-eyed-man-with-a-limp/#comment-7330</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[TRUTH ON THE MARKET &#187; Varney on the Merger Guidelines]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2010 08:38:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2008/07/29/the-unfortunate-return-of-the-strange-red-haired-bearded-one-eyed-man-with-a-limp/#comment-7330</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] Taken literally, what Varney is saying is that an ad hoc (ok, fine&#8211;an &#8220;integrated, fact-driven&#8221;) determination that some customers (&#8221;vulnerable&#8221; ones, whatever that means) may be made worse off by a merger lessens the need for a more comprehensive assessment of overall competitive dynamics within a relevant market.  But I don&#8217;t know what this means, frankly.  In the first place, how is the agency supposed to know that some customers are likely to be harmed if it hasn&#8217;t assessed the availability of substitutes and the extent of diversion?  One can certainly criticize the method by which this assessment is made, but a conclusion of harm absent this assessment seems absurd.  Moreover, if Varney really means that all that is required to condemn a merger is that any customers may be harmed, no matter how many are also benefited, at a minimum it sounds like she&#8217;s writing the efficiencies defense out of the Guidelines, but she may even be justifying condemnation of any and all mergers&#8211;after all, how many actions in the marketplace impose a cost on literally no one?  If, as seems likely, it is inframarginal consumers who are &#8220;likely&#8221; &#8220;vulnerable&#8221; to price increases (where &#8220;vulnerable&#8221; may be a synonym for &#8220;having inelastic demand&#8221;), then this test is a repudiation of the entire economic edifice of modern merger analysis (parallel to my discussion of the DC Circuit&#8217;s Whole Foods decision here). [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Taken literally, what Varney is saying is that an ad hoc (ok, fine&#8211;an &#8220;integrated, fact-driven&#8221;) determination that some customers (&#8221;vulnerable&#8221; ones, whatever that means) may be made worse off by a merger lessens the need for a more comprehensive assessment of overall competitive dynamics within a relevant market.  But I don&#8217;t know what this means, frankly.  In the first place, how is the agency supposed to know that some customers are likely to be harmed if it hasn&#8217;t assessed the availability of substitutes and the extent of diversion?  One can certainly criticize the method by which this assessment is made, but a conclusion of harm absent this assessment seems absurd.  Moreover, if Varney really means that all that is required to condemn a merger is that any customers may be harmed, no matter how many are also benefited, at a minimum it sounds like she&#8217;s writing the efficiencies defense out of the Guidelines, but she may even be justifying condemnation of any and all mergers&#8211;after all, how many actions in the marketplace impose a cost on literally no one?  If, as seems likely, it is inframarginal consumers who are &#8220;likely&#8221; &#8220;vulnerable&#8221; to price increases (where &#8220;vulnerable&#8221; may be a synonym for &#8220;having inelastic demand&#8221;), then this test is a repudiation of the entire economic edifice of modern merger analysis (parallel to my discussion of the DC Circuit&#8217;s Whole Foods decision here). [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Thom</title>
		<link>http://truthonthemarket.com/2008/07/29/the-unfortunate-return-of-the-strange-red-haired-bearded-one-eyed-man-with-a-limp/#comment-7329</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Thom]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Jul 2008 15:49:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.truthonthemarket.com/2008/07/29/the-unfortunate-return-of-the-strange-red-haired-bearded-one-eyed-man-with-a-limp/#comment-7329</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Terrific post, Geoff.  The implications of the majority&#039;s willingness to define a market based on the likely conduct of core customers is truly astounding.  Given that market definition is a key part of the analysis in many antitrust disputes, this bad precedent has the potential to reach far beyond the merger context.

Consider monopolization, where one of the elements is monopoly power (generally determined based on market share).  If we can define markets based on the degree to which core customers would refrain from switching to other products in response to a price increase, then basically every brand with a devoted following is a monopoly!  The market consists of it alone, since core customers would not switch in response to a higher price, and the producer is the single seller within that market -- a textbook monopolist.

Take Starbucks, where I&#039;m sitting as I write this.  There are many, many people (I am not one of them, by the way), who have a MUCH stronger preference for Starbucks coffee (and perhaps the whole Starbucks experience) than the cofee (and coffee experience) at any other coffeeshop.  Starbucks would not lose their business if it raised its prices substantially.  Does that make Starbucks a monopolist?  Surely not.

If inframarginal preferences define markets, leading to an abundance of &quot;market power&quot; for antitrust purposes, then antitrust prosecutors and plaintiffs will become the all-purpose policemen of the business world.  That&#039;s because any firm with monopoly power (and there will be lots of such firms under the D.C. Circuit&#039;s approach), runs afoul of the antitrust laws if it engages in unreasonably exclusionary conduct, which is notoriously difficult to define.  Freed from having to make any sort of rigorous showing of market power, antitrusters can go around attacking all sorts of vigorous competition, labeling it &quot;exclusionary conduct.&quot;  Given the vagueness of that concept, they&#039;re likely to have a number of successes.  To borrow another classic description, antitrust will once again be, as Robert Bork once described it, &quot;in the good old American tradition of the sheriff of a frontier town: he did not sift evidence, distinguish between suspects, and solve crimes, but merely walked down main street and every so often pistol-whipped a few people.&quot;]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Terrific post, Geoff.  The implications of the majority&#8217;s willingness to define a market based on the likely conduct of core customers is truly astounding.  Given that market definition is a key part of the analysis in many antitrust disputes, this bad precedent has the potential to reach far beyond the merger context.</p>
<p>Consider monopolization, where one of the elements is monopoly power (generally determined based on market share).  If we can define markets based on the degree to which core customers would refrain from switching to other products in response to a price increase, then basically every brand with a devoted following is a monopoly!  The market consists of it alone, since core customers would not switch in response to a higher price, and the producer is the single seller within that market &#8212; a textbook monopolist.</p>
<p>Take Starbucks, where I&#8217;m sitting as I write this.  There are many, many people (I am not one of them, by the way), who have a MUCH stronger preference for Starbucks coffee (and perhaps the whole Starbucks experience) than the cofee (and coffee experience) at any other coffeeshop.  Starbucks would not lose their business if it raised its prices substantially.  Does that make Starbucks a monopolist?  Surely not.</p>
<p>If inframarginal preferences define markets, leading to an abundance of &#8220;market power&#8221; for antitrust purposes, then antitrust prosecutors and plaintiffs will become the all-purpose policemen of the business world.  That&#8217;s because any firm with monopoly power (and there will be lots of such firms under the D.C. Circuit&#8217;s approach), runs afoul of the antitrust laws if it engages in unreasonably exclusionary conduct, which is notoriously difficult to define.  Freed from having to make any sort of rigorous showing of market power, antitrusters can go around attacking all sorts of vigorous competition, labeling it &#8220;exclusionary conduct.&#8221;  Given the vagueness of that concept, they&#8217;re likely to have a number of successes.  To borrow another classic description, antitrust will once again be, as Robert Bork once described it, &#8220;in the good old American tradition of the sheriff of a frontier town: he did not sift evidence, distinguish between suspects, and solve crimes, but merely walked down main street and every so often pistol-whipped a few people.&#8221;</p>
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