Truth on the Market

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Archive for September, 2007

Businesses Clamoring for More Regulation — It’s Like Rain on Your Wedding Day.

Posted by Thom Lambert on September 18, 2007

Within the last few days, the nation’s two most prominent newspapers have reported an interesting trend: businesses are seeking more government regulation. On Sunday, the New York Times ran an article entitled In Turnaround, Industries Seek U.S. Regulation. Yesterday’s Wall Street Journal featured Food Makers Get Appetite for Regulation.

Some might argue that this is a bit ironic. But it’s not. Like rain on your wedding day or a black fly in your Chardonnay, businesses’ clamoring for regulation is not ironic at all. Yet it is, like those occurrences, an awfully unfortunate situation.

An event is ironic, of course, only if there is something about the circumstances in which the event occurs that makes the event particularly unlikely or peculiar. To quote the great Mo Rocca (dissecting Ms. Morissette’s little ditty on VH1′s “I Love the 90s”):

Irony is the disparity between what you expect will happen and what does happen. So raining on your wedding day isn’t ironic; it’s just crappy. It would have been ironic if she had lived in a place like Seattle and traveled to the desert of Mexico for a wedding, and it ended up raining there, but not in Seattle.

Businesses’ clamoring to be regulated, then, cannot be ironic, for it is to be expected. Indeed, both the NYT and WSJ articles pointed to at least four reasons we’d expect businesses to pursue governmental regulation.

First, businesses want to avoid a multiplicity of rules. As a tomato grower states in the WSJ article, “We don’t want 50 different standards, but that’s what’s happening right now.” Federal regulation preempting other rules could simplify compliance for businesses.

Second, businesses want to avoid products liability suits. If it’s cheaper to comply with regulations than to defend, settle, and pay claims on lawsuits, businesses are better off procuring regulations that offer liability protection in exchange for compliance.

Third, businesses can procure regulations in order to achieve advantages over their competitors. In the last few years, American consumers have had access to an unprecedented number of low-priced, high-quality foreign goods. By convincing the government to mandate the production processes they currently use (or could easily adopt), incumbent domestic businesses can both erect barriers to entry and raise the costs of those rivals that do manage to enter the market.

Finally, businesses might seek regulation in order to boost consumer confidence in the products they sell. This is the theme emphasized by the president of the Grocery Manufacturers Association, who told the WSJ, “We need to have consumer confidence in the food products.”

These four “stories,” each related in both the NYT and WSJ articles, show that demanding to be regulated — like rain on your wedding day — isn’t at all ironic. But — like rain on your wedding day — it’s still unfortunate. Why do I say that? Because only the third story above — an unfortunate, anti-consumer story — can explain this current clamoring for regulation by potential regulatees.

The first story (“We’re doing this to avoid a multiplicity of rules”) isn’t convincing because the standards at issue aren’t being imposed by states and thus wouldn’t be preempted by federal regulation. As the WSJ noted, the conflicting standards have been set by private actors — “[B]uyers from Wal-Mart Stores Inc. to McDonald’s Corp. and Walt Disney Co. are requiring different safety standards and independent inspections.” Federal regulation wouldn’t change this, unless the regulatees could convince buyers to drop their different standards in favor of the uniform federal one. But couldn’t regulatees just as easily convince buyers to adopt a common, privately-crafted standard? It seems a multiplicity of standards could be avoided without imposing mandatory, government-crafted rules.

Voluntary standards could also be used to boost consumer confidence (story #4) and reduce products liability suits (story #2). Private certification agencies do a terrific job of guaranteeing quality and sustaining consumer confidence. The entire kosher food industry, for example, thrives without any governmental regulation of kosher status. And if reduction of tort liability is the real concern of businesses seeking regulation, they could ask legislators and regulators to promulgate consumer-protective, non-mandatory standards, compliance with which would immunize them from tort liability.

But the businesses begging to be regulated aren’t taking that tack. Instead, they’re seeking mandatory government regulations. Such mandates, which wouldn’t avoid a multiplicity of standards and wouldn’t be necessary for either consumer confidence or tort liability protection, would be both necessary and sufficient for another end: raising rivals’ costs. Thus, story #3 is most plausible.

And that should worry us, for when profit-maximizing businesses can enhance their market power (and thus their profit margins) by harnessing the power of the state to reduce competition, consumers lose. As Mo Rocca might say, organized industry’s attempt to do so “isn’t ironic; it’s just crappy.”

Posted in business, regulation | 6 Comments »

Obnoxious, Disruptive, Worth a Debilitating Electrical Charge

Posted by Elizabeth Nowicki on September 18, 2007

Have any of you actually watched the video of the University of Florida student, Andrew Meyer, who was tasered (shocked with a stun gun that emits a “debilitating electrical charge“) by UF Police at a discussion with Senator John Kerry?  The student was asking a series of questions of Senator Kerry, and apparently the student did not want to give up his line of questioning and sit down when his time was up.  The student appears to be loud and obnoxious, but I cannot hear him saying or doing anything dangerous or threatening.

The UF police drag the student away from the microphone, to the back of the auditorium, and they take the student down to the ground.  It appears from the video that multiple UF police officers are on top of him.  The student is on the ground, begging the police not to taser him, … but they do.  His screaming as he is being tasered and after being tasered is astounding.

The link to the video is half-way down the linked page

Watch the video.  Pay attention to the part at the bitter end, where the student is on the ground, with multiple police officers on top of him.  He is screaming, “don’t taser me,” and it sounds like he is saying “I’ll leave” (as in, “I’ll leave the conference – I’ll leave the room”).  And then the police taser him.

I am without words.

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Comments »

Reactions to the Microsoft Decision

Posted by Josh Wright on September 18, 2007

The reaction to the CFI’s Microsoft decision (press release here) thus far has been largely negative.  Here’s a sample:

  1. Luke Froeb: “Disappointingly, the Court failed to articulate a principle that would tell firms when they are competing on the merits and when they are going to violate the increasingly murky European antitrust rules about dominant firm behavior.”
  2. Tom Barnett: “We are, however, concerned that the standard applied to unilateral conduct by the CFI, rather than helping consumers, may have the unfortunate consequence of harming consumers by chilling innovation and discouraging competition.”
  3. The WSJ Editorial Page: “this could get out of hand faster than the click of a mouse. Microsoft’s general counsel, Brad Smith, points out that Apple’s iPod dominates the MP3 player market, in which Microsoft’s Zune is the underdog, and that Google’s search engine has whipped Microsoft’s MSN and all other comers. Not to mention the near-monopoly in some mainframe-computer markets held by IBM, which joined Sun Microsystems in pushing Brussels to take on Microsoft in 1998. Mr. Smith seems to be implying that two can play at this game of making “strategic complaints.”

A few thoughts of my own are below the fold.

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in antitrust, economics, international politics, regulation, technology | 2 Comments »

Welcome TOTM's Newest Addition: Paul Gift

Posted by Josh Wright on September 18, 2007

TOTM is pleased to announce another addition to our permanent roster.  Paul Gift, Asssistant Professor of Economics at the Graziadio Business School at Pepperdine University.  Paul has a Ph.D. in economics from UCLA and spent several years in the litigation consulting business with LECG before moving into academia full-time at Pepperdine in 2006.  Paul specializes an antitrust economics and econometrics, but also has significant experience in financial fraud cases and damages estimation.  Welcome Paul!

Posted in announcements, blogging, truth on the market | Comments Off

Is It Monday Yet?

Posted by Josh Wright on September 16, 2007

Danny Sokol pre-blogs Monday’s expected EU Microsoft decision.  His punchline: this decision has the potential to cause substantial Trans-Atlantic discord and magnify the divergence between EU and US approaches to unilateral firm conduct, with important implications for the role of the ICN in facilitating convergence and harmonization across jurisdictions.  I’m sure there will be a significant amount of blogging about this decision in the coming weeks here at TOTM.  Stay tuned.

Posted in antitrust, intellectual property, regulation | Comments Off

Why Wasn't Belichick Suspended?

Posted by Josh Wright on September 14, 2007

An assistant coach takes a substance banned by the NFL to treat diabetes. He is fined one third of his salary and suspended for 5 games. An NFL head coach violates an NFL rule concerning videotaping the opposition during a game from the sideline for fear that such conduct might impact the outcome of the game (though it did not in the case at issue so far as we know). Coach Belichick’s punishment: $500,000 and no suspension. The Patriots’ organization was also fined an additional $250,000 and a few draft picks (a first round or both a second and third round draft pick depending on whether the Patriots make the playoffs). What gives with not suspending Coach Belichick?

Don’t get me wrong, $500,000 is nothing to laugh at (Belichick’s annual salary is reported to be somewhere in the neighborhood of $3 million). It’s a real fine and real punishment for some very troublesome conduct. But in light of the NFL’s harsh punishment of the Dallas Cowboys’ quarterbacks coach Wade Wilson, I’m not sure that failing to suspend Belichick is really defensible if one cares about consistency. There has been lots of very interesting discussion(see, e.g. Adler, McCann, Rapp, and Yen) about the appropriateness of the fine. ESPN’s John Clayton argues that it was too light without a suspension. Others have argued that it was appropriate because of the pre-season warnings NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell gave about precisely this sort of sideline videotaping. Some have expressed that the lack of suspension was appropriate because Belicheck’s absence would have an impact on the outcomes of games.

Presumably, the reason Wilson was fined so harshly was because of the potential of distributing the banned substance to players and the league’s desire to send a strong message about such substances because they can give an unfair competitive advantage (see Wilson’s take on the suspension in this story from ESPN’s Ed Werder). Wilson apparently was able to convince the league that he was indeed using the banned substance for himself and not to distribute to players or else he would have been banned for life. So one cannot distinguish the two on the grounds that Wilson’s conduct actually had an impact on competition. The defense that Belichick’s suspension would have an impact on the field does not seem sufficient to justify the decision either. The notion that suspensions impact on the field performance shouldn’t shock anybody. That is what suspensions are designed to do. Besides, Commissioner Goodell acknowledges that he believes the loss of draft picks will have a more serious impact on the field than suspending the Coach. So far, I can’t think of a persuasive reason why it makes sense for Wilson to face a serious suspension and a serious fine (actually larger as a fraction of his salary) while Belichick only faces the fine.

The most obvious answer lies in the loss of draft picks. In fact, Goodell relies on the severity of the draft pick punishment to justify the decision not to suspend the Coach:

I specifically considered whether to impose a suspension on Coach Belichick. I have determined not to do so, largely because I believe that the discipline I am imposing of a maximum fine and forfeiture of a first-round draft choice, or multiple draft choices, is in fact more significant and long-lasting, and therefore more effective, than a suspension.

This may be true. It may hurt the Patriots more to lose the draft picks than to lose Belichick for a couple of games — but this is debatable. But this answer still does not square the personal punishments of Wilson and Belichick. Belichick, after all, admits that the decision to continue to videotape was his decision based on his incorrect interpretation of the NFL constitution and bylaws.

By the way, I’m hoping Belichick spells out what it was about the following rule that made videotaping on the sideline acceptable: “No video recording devices of any kind are permitted to be in use in the coaches’ booth, on the field, or in the locker room during the game.”

Posted in musings, sports, technology | 3 Comments »

More on Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. v. Allegheny Energy, Inc.

Posted by Robert Miller on September 14, 2007

Steven Davidoff responded to my blog here last week regarding Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. v. Allegheny Energy, Inc. and made the excellent point that just how bad for Merrill the representation I quoted really was depends in part on the limitations on indemnification that were included in the purchase agreement. For example, if the representations survived for only a short period and were subject to a large deductible and low cap, Merrill’s liability under the representation would be sharply limited. Unfortunately, the second circuit opinion says nothing about the indemnification provisions, and so I don’t know how much Merrill’s lawyers were able to take back with the left hand what they had given away with the right.

Steven also mentioned a representation that as counsel on the buy-side he generally tried to get and that is in some ways similar to the one I so criticized Merrill’s lawyers for giving on the sell-side. The representation Steven mentioned provides as follows:Â

There does not now exist any event, condition, or other matter, or any series of events, conditions, or other matters, individually or in the aggregate, adversely affecting Seller’s assets, business, prospects, financial condition, or results of its operations, that has not been specifically disclosed to Buyer in writing by Seller on or prior to the date of this Agreement.Â

As seller’s counsel, I would be willing to give this representation only if a few key changes were made. First and most important, it would have to be qualified by some materiality threshold. Every day any number of things “adversely affect” the company—far too many to be listed on a disclosure schedule—and so this representation would be false when made unless qualified as to materiality. In my view, the correct qualification here would be qualification to a “MAC”—a “material adverse change” on the company (defined with all the usual carve-outs, etc.). If the buyer’s counsel argued for a lower level of materiality—say anything “materially adversely affecting” the company—I would push back very hard. I think the seller ought not be in the position of having to determine for the buyer what is “material” to the value of the business from the buyer’s point of view.

This brings me to the second change I would think necessary: the MAC in the qualification should be a MAC on the company as a whole (including its “business” and “financial condition”), not on the company’s “assets” and certainly not on its “prospects.” “Assets” is wrong because something can adversely affect the company’s assets and not make the company itself worse off (e.g., a fully-insured asset is destroyed in an act of God). “Prospects” is wrong because no rational seller guarantees the future results of the business.Â

Third, the representation should be qualified as to time, meaning that it should pertain only to the period beginning on the date of the most recent audited financial statements of the company. Anything prior to the date should be covered in those financial statements.

With these three changes, the representation would sayÂ

Since the date of the Seller Financial Statements, there has not occurred any Material Adverse Effect on the Seller, its business or financial condition, except as has been specifically disclosed to Buyer in writing.Â

Thus modified, the representation is, I believe, customary. A representation substantially identical to it appears, for example, in the KKR-First Data merger agreement (the merger proxy for the deal, with the agreement appended, is available here):Â

Section 4.7 Absence of Material Adverse Change. Since December 31, 2006, … there has not been any Material Adverse Change or any Effect that would, individually or in the aggregate, reasonably be expected to have a Material Adverse Effect on the Company.

Representations like this, I think, are significantly different from the representation Merrill gave in the Allegheny deal. For one thing, the representation above does not amount to representing that all statements in the diligence materials were true. To prove a breach of the representation above, the buyer would have to show (a) there was a fact that amounts to a MAC on the company, and (b) the seller didn’t disclose that fact in diligence. It would be a question of a MAC-level omission from diligence, not a question of a false statement in the diligence materials. From a litigation point of view, the issue would probably come down to the seller combing the diligence materials and arguing that some obscure statement in the materials really did disclose the fact in question. From an economic point of view, the representation above creates an incentive for the seller to disclose more information rather than less in diligence, and that sounds efficient to me.

Although the representation in Merrill-Allegheny makes Merrill liable for omissions from diligence and so creates a similar incentive, it also creates an exactly opposite incentive as well. For, under the Merrill-Allegheny representation, the buyer can comb the diligence materials for an arguably-false statement and then argue that the falsity of the statement breaches the representation. Hence, the representation creates an incentive for the seller to disclose less information rather than more. To this extent, it’s very likely inefficient.

There’s another difference too. Nothing in the representation above requires the seller to make normative judgments about whether the information delivered is “appropriate” to value the company. The only judgment that the seller has to make is whether a fact amounts to a MAC on the company. It would seem possible that the seller could disclose all negative information about the company while still not disclosing some information needed to “appropriately” value the company. Imagine, for example, that inventory turnover rates are very important in the business being sold, and so valuation methodologies for this kind of business usually make use of such information. Under the Merrill Lynch representation, I think the seller would have to disclose inventory turnover information, even if there was nothing “bad” in the information (e.g., even if the turnover rates were average for the industry) and even if the buyer never asked for it. Under the representation above, as long as the turnover rates were not unusually bad, I don’t think the failure to disclose information about them would amount to a breach.

So although I didn’t want to harsh all over Merrill’s lawyers, I still think they gave a representation that was unreasonably unfavorable for their client. Steven and I both recall seeing counsel, even from elite firms, make serious mistakes similar to this—missing double materiality qualifications and so on. Steven suggested that the explanation may lie in the negotiation process being private (hence most mistakes don’t lead to public embarrassment), in an unthinking adherence to the firm’s form agreements (hence once a mistake is incorporated into the form, it gets repeated), or in over-reliance on network effects (other lawyers know what they are doing and so the associates will learn from them).

I’m inclined to think the problem is simply one of agency costs. Clients don’t read business combination agreements, and they certainly don’t read the representations—much less do they understand what can reasonably be given in representations and what cannot. Hence, when lawyers make a serious mistake, it’s often the lawyers themselves who are advising the client as to how serious the mistake was and how it ought be handled. The clients are ill-equipped to make an independent judgment. The lawyers can thus cover up the mistake at the client’s expense.

Unless, of course, some tiresome law professors want to blog about them.Â

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The Roberts Court's Antitrust Philosophy: Chicago School, Harvard School, or Neither?

Posted by Josh Wright on September 12, 2007

Danny Sokol points to Professor Einer Elhauge’s (Harvard) forthcoming paper in Competition Policy International where he argues that recent Supreme Court antitrust jurisprudence reflects a choice in favor of the Harvard School rather than the Chicago School of antitrust analysis. I recommend Professor Elhauge’s analysis to our readers for at least two reasons. The first is that his work is always very thoughtful and worth reading, and this piece is no exception. The second reasons is that I will have a paper in the very same journal taking what amounts to the opposite position: that the Roberts Court’s antitrust jurisprudence reflects the adoption of Chicago School’s methodological commitments. Of course, this style of argument is really about matters of degree because the Chicago and Harvard approaches have experienced some convergence in some areas. I plan on posting a version of this paper in the next week or so after doing some fine-tuning this week. In the meantime, it is clear that Professor Elhauge and I agree on at least one point: recent Supreme Court antitrust jurisprudence has been a serious attempt to engage in analysis and not a simple “pro-defendant” attitude as some have erroneously suggested.

UPDATE: Hanno Kaiser at Antitrust Review highlights another interesting portion of Elhauge’s analysis.  Elhauge points out that under the Harvard School approach, the per se approach to RPM is inappropriate but argues that Justice Breyer’s dissent in Leegin on stare decisis grounds was likely “mixed up with abortion politics” rather than motivated by getting the economics right.   As readers of TOTM will know, Thom and I have blogged extensively about the errors in Justice Breyer’s analysis of vertical restraints.

Posted in antitrust, economics, law and economics, legal scholarship, regulation, scholarship | Comments Off

Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. v. Allegheny Energy, Inc.

Posted by Robert Miller on September 7, 2007

Last week the Second Circuit Court of Appeals decided Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. v. Allegheny Energy, Inc. (available here), which involved fraudulent inducement and breach of warranty claims in connection with a business combination agreement. The case is a straightforward application of familiar principles of blackletter law. I mention it because of certain highly unusual provisions in the purchase agreement between the parties.

First, some background. Back in 2000, Allegheny was considering purchasing GEM, a subsidiary of Merrill involved in trading energy commodities. In connection with Allegheny’s due diligence review, Merrill provided Allegheny with a great deal of information about GEM. The opinion doesn’t say what happened in this case, but usually such information is delivered under a confidentiality agreement that provides not only that the potential buyer will not disclose the information but also that the potential seller makes no representations or warranties as to the completeness or accuracy of the information provided. Such a disclaimer makes perfect sense. The materials being produced are the business records of the seller, and they were generated in the ordinary course of running the company, not to be relied on by third parties with interests adverse to those of the seller. The efficient error rate for business records is presumably much higher than the efficient error rate for contractual representations, breaches of which will almost inevitably subject the person making them to liability. Hence, if the seller represented that materials produced in due diligence were, say, “true and complete in all material respects,” this representation would very likely be false. The usual thing, therefore, is for the seller to make no representations or warranties on such materials.

Merrill and Allegheny eventually entered into a definitive purchase agreement for the sale of GEM, and this agreement, like virtually all business combination agreements, included elaborate representations and warranties by the seller about the condition of the business. This too makes sense. Limiting representations to ones expressly made in the agreement reduces uncertainty and forces the parties to bargain over exactly which representations will be made.

After the deal closed, Allegheny discovered that some of the key financial information Merrill provided in due diligence was false. The facts get very complicated at this point, in part because the Merrill employee running the GEM business prior to the transaction had embezzled millions of dollars from Merrill (he’s now in jail) and in part because of disputes about accounting methodologies used in preparing the information. The parties disagree about exactly which statements in the information Merrill produced in due diligence were false, why they were false, and what various of Merrill employees knew or should have known about their falsity at the time the agreement was signed.

A disappointed buyer like Allegheny can make either or both of two claims. It can argue fraudulent inducement, and so have to prove that the seller knowingly (or recklessly) included false information in the due diligence materials and that the buyer justifiably relied on such information to its detriment. Or, the buyer can argue breach of warranty, and so have to prove that the seller made a false statement in the representations in the agreement and the buyer was harmed thereby. In the first case, the universe of relevant statements is much wider, but the buyer has to prove not only that one such statement was false but also that the seller made the false statement knowing it was false (or in reckless disregard of its truth). In the second, the universe of relevant statements is confined to those made in the agreement, but all the buyer has to prove is that one such statement was false; the seller’s knowledge of its falsity is irrelevant.

The agreement between Merrill and Allegheny, however, contained some highly unusual provisions. In particular, Merrill warranted that the information provided to Allegheny “in the aggregate, in [Merrill’s] reasonable judgment exercised in good faith, is appropriate for [Allegheny] to evaluate [GEM’s] trading positions and trading operations.” This should take the breadth away from any practicing M&A lawyer. In effect, Merrill is representing not only that it believed the information provided in due diligence was true but also that it reasonably believed such information was true. Hence, any false statement in the diligence materials becomes potentially actionable: the seller will argue that Merrill should reasonably have known such statement was false.

Even worse, Merrill is representing that the information it provided was “appropriate” for Allegheny’s evaluating the business. At the very least, this means that Merrill is warranting that it reasonably believed that it delivered all the information that Allegheny needed to value the business. Hence, omissions from due diligence will become actionable. If Merrill had any information it did not produce to Allegheny in due diligence, Allegheny will now argue that such information was reasonably necessary for it to value the business and so its non-delivery to Allegheny was a breach.

Moreover, representing about whether the materials produced were “appropriate” for valuing the business also requires Merrill to make judgments about what information a buyer reasonably needs in a valuation study and so involve making judgments about what were appropriate valuation methodologies for the business in question. That, quite simply, is not the seller’s job. How the buyer values the business is something only the buyer can really know. After deciding how to value the business, the buyer should ask for what information it needs, and, even better, bargain for representations in the agreement concerning that information.

Not surprisingly, the Second Circuit reversed the district court’s summary judgment in favor of Merrill and remanded for further proceedings. The lesson here—besides the obvious one that Merrill cut a very bad deal and should hire better lawyers—is that representations should be about matters of fact the seller can be fairly certain it knows to be true, not normative judgments about what’s “appropriate,” especially from the point of view of an adverse party. Voluntary exchanges are efficient because each of the parties prefers the result of the exchange to the status quo ante. A representation by one party that the other party has evaluated the change correctly—i.e., “really” prefers it—is beyond what that party could know. Giving such a representation almost amounts to insuring the transaction for the other party. Merrill, I suspect, did not realize that it was doing that, but the result follows from the contract language, and the Second Circuit quite properly is holding Merrill to the bargain it struck.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off

What Does it Feel Like to Be Cut From an NFL Team?

Posted by Josh Wright on September 6, 2007

Princeton graduate and Washington Redskins offensive lineman Ross Tucker’s six year NFL career came to an end last week when he was cut by the team and subsequently discovered a career-ending injury.  In Peter King’s MMQB column over at CNNSI, Tucker delivers a touching first-hand account of his experience.  Here’s a short excerpt where Tucker recounts walking into Redskins owner Dan Snyder’s office after he learned he would be cut:

I asked Mr. Snyder’s assistant if I could thank the Redskins owner for the opportunities he had given me. In his office, I choked up a bit as I said, “Thank you so much for giving an undrafted free agent rookie from Princeton an opportunity in 2001. You really changed my life.” It’s true — the Redskins gave me my first and my last chance at my dream. In an attempt to lighten the mood I told Mr. Snyder I still had one claim to fame. “I am pretty sure that I am the only 28-year-old Princeton grad that has been fired five times already.” He laughed.

Tucker’s column supplies wonderful insights look into a part of athletic life that fans do not often see.

Posted in musings, sports | 1 Comment »

 
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